coronavirus: where does everyone stand?

Discussion in 'Girls-Basketball' started by Popcorn Sutton, Apr 9, 2020.

  1. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    Curious as to the thoughts around here because irl people have lost their fucking minds.

    Personally, I think it's bad for old/pre-existing conditions but, while more viral, not exponentially worse than the flu.

    Also, the IHME model being used by the government is utter garbage and has caused untold damage in terms of market fluctuations and unemployment numbers.
     
  2. FLOPJOHNSON

    FLOPJOHNSON Well-Known Member
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    Pretty much in the same boat. We dont have a cure and we cant stay trapped inside forever so there just needs to be some agreed upon changes in the meantime, with some reasonable social distancing but not putting everyone out of work.
     
  3. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    If I'm in NYC I'm taking precautions. Nobody is touching me, my wife, or my kids. I'm wiping down everything I touch, wearing gloves, masks, the whole nine.

    That said, I'm in Birmingham and I'm not worried a bit. Just doing some quick math here, 492 people in Jefferson County have tested positive for it. There are 659,000 people in Jefferson County. My odds of running into someone that has it are .07%. Even if they're off by a factor of 10 I've still got a better chance at dying on my way to work.

    If everyone had my perspective it might be drastically worse though. The problem is we made huge sweeping decisions on basically a hunch.

    Edit: Not to mention the fact that if I even came into contact with someone that has it the odds of me getting it are probably 20% and even less chance of it being anything more serious than a few days off work.

    60% of people my age who have been hospitalized are obese and 36% have chronic lung disease. The odds are in my favor because I'm neither obese nor do I have chronic lung disease.

    https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6915e3.htm#T1_up
     
    3 Even Janitor, Apr 9, 2020
    Last edited: Apr 9, 2020
  4. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    I think these responses are right. Just baffles me to see so many otherwise smart people go completely nanners over things that are obvious faulty, at best.

    Then again, people who work social media jobs from their apartments in manhattan are driving 75%+ of the reaction/coverage of this stuff so it shouldn't be that surprising.
     
  5. MIV

    MIV Active Member
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    If we never shut things down, the numbers would be way higher. A lot of people seem to be missing that.

    That said, we need to start pumping out tests so people can get back to work. Once we get good at testing we can start developing better plans for what to do with those who test positive.
     
  6. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    The problem is that the IHME model predicted full compliance with social distancing/quarantining and the projected numbers have been off by 300%. Would things have been 300% worse without shelter-in-place orders? it's possible.

    Regarding testing, why has the CDC not done a randomized test of 1,000 or 5,000 people yet? Seems like that would give us far more data than only testing people with symptoms being referred by a physician.
     
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  7. FLOPJOHNSON

    FLOPJOHNSON Well-Known Member
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    Its all a political game at this point, ease measures but not too quickly so its not used as a weapon against you in the campaign, etc. I don't think we're dealing in reality anymore
     
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  8. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    I saw a tweet today that said it feels like this is no longer being driven by panic. Instead it's being driven by ass covering.
     
  9. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    I get that they'd be higher, but nobody really knew the extent. You could make the same case for any disease. I think Sweden is going to be the control group to gauge whether or not we freaked out. Of course they're much healthier than we are so it's kind of apples and oranges. We'll see how long they hold out. Apparently it's getting worse over there now, but there are still less confirmed cases per capita than the U.S.
     
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  10. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    boy this was a poorly timed tweet lol
     
  11. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    What? I feel like I missed something.
     
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  12. Gurvin

    Gurvin Well-Known Member
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    samsies
     
  13. Dr.Hellen

    Dr.Hellen Member
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    Rx Golden Pharmacy realizes that optimum health plays a very crucial part in life. Our entire staff is dedicated to providing our customers with the pharmaceuticals they need.Order your prescriptions Now (no script is needed).
    contact us on WhatsApp +15182610269
    Visit website https://rxgoldenpharmacy.com
     
  14. FLOPJOHNSON

    FLOPJOHNSON Well-Known Member
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    Thanks Dr. Hellen!!
     
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  15. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    Anybody click on her site yet? Curious if she has anything that will fix the aids it gives my computer.
     
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  16. FLOPJOHNSON

    FLOPJOHNSON Well-Known Member
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    I did click on it, they've got quite the inventory - covid masks and oxycontin, signmeup.gif
     
  17. Virgil Cain

    Virgil Cain Member
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    We bought a Peloton...
     
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  18. BamaCharlie

    BamaCharlie Member
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    It's so hard to feel like it was a good idea to destroy the world economy over the results we're getting

    Maybe it's bc I was in line for a massive promotion/ raise and now am just hoping I don't have a massive pay cut instead, but I'm pretty much over this shit

    I just pray it doesn't somehow cost Trump the election and he can go HAM on China after all this
     
  19. Ytry

    Ytry Active Member
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    I was looking for Hydroxychloroquine and Z-Packs to snack on while watching Tiger King this Easter Sunday, but they don’t sell that
     
    19 Ytry, Apr 11, 2020
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2020
  20. wiremaker

    wiremaker Well-Known Member
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    Got damm this is just too reasonable.
     
  21. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    I've been telling people that I can't make the math work out at all. Maybe I'm missing something because I don't claim to be the smartest guy in the room or anything.
     
  22. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    just that within like 15 min of you posting that nate silver twitter erupted with "SEE??? SWEDEN DIDN'T LOCK DOWN, NOW THEY'RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!"

    They had increases but ICU numbers don't lag like reg admittance figures so no one really knows anything at this point.
     
    22 Popcorn Sutton, Apr 13, 2020
    Last edited: Apr 13, 2020
  23. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    Take a bow, ScienceTM and Government!
    [​IMG]
     
  24. mln59

    mln59 Well-Known Member
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    we expect millions of deaths in about 2 weeks.
     
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  25. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    Millions will die.
     
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  26. Popcorn Sutton

    Popcorn Sutton Well-Known Member
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    ENCORE! ENCORE!

    [​IMG]
     
  27. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    I’m over this shit bruh. We finna riot.
     
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  28. lucio

    lucio Active Member
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    we had the first positive case in the factory today, besides from me of course
     
  29. wiremaker

    wiremaker Well-Known Member
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    Have a couple teachers that have tested positive, don’t know anyone who suffered much.
     
  30. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    Had a fatass coworker come down with it about a month ago. He's 32 years old about 6' probably 250-260. He said he had 2 rough days, 2 days where he wanted to die, and 2 more rough days. Not sure why I should be concerned at all at 30 years old and in good shape.

    They keep saying that we need to protect the vulnerable, but if they just stay the fvck away from me shouldn't they be fine?
     
  31. wiremaker

    wiremaker Well-Known Member
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    I mean, I think so...?

    I don’t know. I have zero fear of this shit, but I confess to being scared about my children getting it. I know it’s not supposed to be too dangerous for young people, but shit happens. Not sure I could live with myself if I brought home something fatal to my kids, so I’m reasonably cautious. I’m pretty fvcking sick of all this shit though.
     
  32. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    I just waited 15 minutes to get into Home Depot. Fvck this shit.
     
  33. wiremaker

    wiremaker Well-Known Member
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    I had to put on a mask to go in the liquor store. Just lucky I was in the wife’s car and she had one in the glove compartment. Fvcks sake, it’s not like there were more than three people in there. Are you shitting me? I thought we all agreed things were improving. Is this the new norm? No matter what, gotta wear in public?
     
  34. -azvb-

    -azvb- Active Member
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    I havent worn one yet. Won't do it.
     
  35. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    I wore mine one time. I had a client meeting in downtown Birmingham where it’s mandatory. The client even sent me an email with their company protocols to adhere to while I was there. Meeting went well, but I felt like a jackass the whole time. Also it’s really hard to read people who are wearing masks. Major drawback when talking to a new client.
     
  36. futurepanther

    futurepanther Member
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    I have to wear one for work. Fvcking sucks.
     
  37. Billy and Ashley Madison

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    Went to a surgeon for a consult last week. Had to park across the street. Got up to the hospital door and realized I forgot my mask. Was running late already, so didn’t go back to the car for it. Turns out, nobody gave a damn.
     
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  38. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    So do we all agree this threat over?
     
  39. FLOPJOHNSON

    FLOPJOHNSON Well-Known Member
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    I’m not concerned for my safety but still have to quarantine next month because we have a kid due. They test you beforehand and if I test positive I can’t be there for the birth, and if she tests positive they won’t give us the baby til she’s discharged from the hospital. So stupid
     
  40. Even Janitor

    Even Janitor Well-Known Member
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    damn bro that sucks. We had a little girl on january 30th right before all this crap kicked off. I was so thankful she came when she did. I can't imagine all the shit you have to do right now. Are you able to have any visitors?
     

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